Home sales fell in June by their largest amount in seven years, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Monday, as nearly 75% of all markets slowed down during what is normally the most popular time of the year for real estate.
CREA said home sales fell by 6.7 per cent last month compared to May and the worst monthly decline since 2010 and the third straight monthly contraction.
MONTHLY HOME SALES IN CANADA
Home sales have now fallen 14 per cent since peaking in March. The April to June period is typically a busy time for home sales as the warmer weather tends to bring out buyers.
Prices down, too
More than 70 per cent of Canadian markets saw fewer homes sold in June than they did in May. But Ontario makes up a biggest percentage of Canada’s housing market, and new rules aimed at slowing the housing market in and around Toronto starting in April appear to be impacting the national numbers.
“Changes to Ontario housing policy made in late April have prompted many home buyers in the Greater Toronto region to take a step back and assess how the housing market absorbs the changes,” said CREA’s chief economist, Gregory Klump. “The recent increase in interest rates could reinforce a lack of urgency to purchase or, alternatively, move some buyers off the sidelines before their pre-approved mortgage rate expires.”
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Prices have been skewed higher for a long time by the hot Toronto and Vancouver markets, but the price in both fell in June compared to May, dragging down the national numbers.
“The Canadian housing market is now in its third month of what is expected to be a soft landing,” TD Bank economist Diana Petramala said. “The weakness was triggered by changes to provincial and federal housing policy, but it will ultimately be higher interest rates that help solidify it.”
Petramala expects prices to decline slightly into next year, but the national average will be lower because of a cooldown in BC and Ontario.
“Elsewhere in the country, the improving economic conditions should help offset some the impact of gradual interest rate hikes, with home prices and sales expected to trend higher,” she said.